Analysis Of The Likelihood Function For Markov Switching Varch Models

Download or read book Analysis of the Likelihood Function for Markov-Switching VAR(CH) Models written by Maddalena Cavicchioli and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this work, we give simple matrix formulae for maximum likelihood estimates of parameters in a broad class of vector autoregressions subject to Markovian changes in regime. This allows us to determine explicitly the asymptotic variance-covariance matrix of the estimators, giving a concrete possibility for the use of the classical testing procedures. In the context of multivariate autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models with changes in regime, we provide formulae for the analytic derivatives of the log likelihood. Then we prove the consistency of some maximum likelihood estimators and give some formulae for the asymptotic variance of the different estimators.