Why Intelligence Fails

Download Why Intelligence Fails full books in PDF, epub, and Kindle. Read online free Why Intelligence Fails ebook anywhere anytime directly on your device. Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. We cannot guarantee that every ebooks is available!

Why Intelligence Fails

Why Intelligence Fails
Author :
Publisher : Cornell University Press
Total Pages : 249
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9780801457616
ISBN-13 : 0801457610
Rating : 4/5 (610 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Why Intelligence Fails by : Robert Jervis

Download or read book Why Intelligence Fails written by Robert Jervis and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2010-12-15 with total page 249 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The U.S. government spends enormous resources each year on the gathering and analysis of intelligence, yet the history of American foreign policy is littered with missteps and misunderstandings that have resulted from intelligence failures. In Why Intelligence Fails, Robert Jervis examines the politics and psychology of two of the more spectacular intelligence failures in recent memory: the mistaken belief that the regime of the Shah in Iran was secure and stable in 1978, and the claim that Iraq had active WMD programs in 2002. The Iran case is based on a recently declassified report Jervis was commissioned to undertake by CIA thirty years ago and includes memoranda written by CIA officials in response to Jervis's findings. The Iraq case, also grounded in a review of the intelligence community's performance, is based on close readings of both classified and declassified documents, though Jervis's conclusions are entirely supported by evidence that has been declassified. In both cases, Jervis finds not only that intelligence was badly flawed but also that later explanations—analysts were bowing to political pressure and telling the White House what it wanted to hear or were willfully blind—were also incorrect. Proponents of these explanations claimed that initial errors were compounded by groupthink, lack of coordination within the government, and failure to share information. Policy prescriptions, including the recent establishment of a Director of National Intelligence, were supposed to remedy the situation. In Jervis's estimation, neither the explanations nor the prescriptions are adequate. The inferences that intelligence drew were actually quite plausible given the information available. Errors arose, he concludes, from insufficient attention to the ways in which information should be gathered and interpreted, a lack of self-awareness about the factors that led to the judgments, and an organizational culture that failed to probe for weaknesses and explore alternatives. Evaluating the inherent tensions between the methods and aims of intelligence personnel and policymakers from a unique insider's perspective, Jervis forcefully criticizes recent proposals for improving the performance of the intelligence community and discusses ways in which future analysis can be improved.


Why Intelligence Fails Related Books

Why Intelligence Fails
Language: en
Pages: 249
Authors: Robert Jervis
Categories: Political Science
Type: BOOK - Published: 2010-12-15 - Publisher: Cornell University Press

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The U.S. government spends enormous resources each year on the gathering and analysis of intelligence, yet the history of American foreign policy is littered wi
Why Secret Intelligence Fails
Language: en
Pages: 346
Authors: Michael A. Turner
Categories: Political Science
Type: BOOK - Published: 2011-07 - Publisher: Potomac Books, Inc.

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Michael Turner argues that the root causes of failures in American intelligence can be found in the way it is organized and in the intelligence process itself.
Intelligence and Surprise Attack
Language: en
Pages: 289
Authors: Erik J. Dahl
Categories: Political Science
Type: BOOK - Published: 2013-07-19 - Publisher: Georgetown University Press

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

How can the United States avoid a future surprise attack on the scale of 9/11 or Pearl Harbor, in an era when such devastating attacks can come not only from na
The Spymasters
Language: en
Pages: 416
Authors: Chris Whipple
Categories: Biography & Autobiography
Type: BOOK - Published: 2021-10-26 - Publisher: Simon and Schuster

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

"Only eleven men and one woman are alive today who have made the life-and-death decisions that come with running the world's most powerful and influential intel
Intelligence Success and Failure
Language: en
Pages: 281
Authors: Uri Bar-Joseph
Categories: History
Type: BOOK - Published: 2017 - Publisher: Oxford University Press

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Machine generated contents note: -- Contents -- Introduction -- Part One: The Theoretical Framework -- Chapter I. Surprise Attack: A Framework for Discussion --