Sustainability Opportunities and Risks of Future Mobility Systems Based on Autonomous Vehicles in Chinese Cities
| Author | : Annika Wulkop |
| Publisher | : |
| Total Pages | : |
| Release | : 2017 |
| ISBN-10 | : OCLC:1029211484 |
| ISBN-13 | : |
| Rating | : 4/5 ( Downloads) |
Download or read book Sustainability Opportunities and Risks of Future Mobility Systems Based on Autonomous Vehicles in Chinese Cities written by Annika Wulkop and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The autonomous vehicle is predicted to change the paradigm of passenger mobility and dreamful visions have been very present in the media. Promoted by companies and governments, the new technology is said to make mobility safer and more environmentally friendly. But the reports are onesided. There is a limited amount of research on the potential downsides of the autonomous vehicle, particularly at the system level. Also, existing research mostly uses data and examples from the Western world. This qualitative study questions if the autonomous vehicle is truly sustainable. It identifies sustainability risks and opportunities for urban mobility systems in China which result from the implementation of autonomous vehicles. Factors with influence on the future mobility system are identified, analyzed and combined to four distinct emerging mobility systems: Radical ownership-based system, evolutionary ownership-based system, shared mobility system and public transportation system. Through expert interviews, the emerging mobility systems are assessed along twelve sustainability indicators. The results reveal that (1) when it comes to sustainability the future of the autonomous vehicle does not look as bright as the ubiquitous dream promises, (2) the radical ownership-based system, with a high level of autonomy and vehicle ownership rate, produces the biggest sustainability risks while the shared mobility system produces the biggest sustainability opportunities, and (3) both the direction and the magnitude of the sustainability impact strongly depends on the rebound effect which is not yet understood well-enough to design rebound-proof strategies for the future.
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